{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}/Users/xpmiki/Dropbox/esaiasson/replicationData/e12.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res} 9 Sep 2016, 11:15:24
{txt}
{com}. clear 
{txt}
{com}. set more off
{txt}
{com}. use "symbols political science students.dta"
{txt}
{com}. drop if expert == 1
{txt}(62 observations deleted)

{com}. 
. set seed  358395
{txt}
{com}. sem (d <-  t  wl p)(p <-  t  wl)  
{res}{txt}(4 observations with missing values excluded)

Endogenous variables

{p 0 11 2}Observed:{space 2}{res}d p{p_end}
{txt}
Exogenous variables

{p 0 11 2}Observed:{space 2}{res}t wl{p_end}
{txt}
Fitting target model:

Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-134.01208}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-134.01208}  

Structural equation model{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}        77
{col 1}{txt}Estimation method{col 20}= {res}ml
{col 1}{txt}Log likelihood{col 20}= {res}-134.01208

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}      OIM
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}Structural  {col 14}{txt}{c |}
{space 2}{col 3}d <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}p {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3769922{col 26}{space 2} .0987403{col 37}{space 1}    3.82{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1834648{col 67}{space 3} .5705197
{txt}{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0421506{col 26}{space 2} .0626409{col 37}{space 1}    0.67{col 46}{space 3}0.501{col 54}{space 4}-.0806233{col 67}{space 3} .1649245
{txt}{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .285181{col 26}{space 2} .0607882{col 37}{space 1}    4.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1660384{col 67}{space 3} .4043236
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3471431{col 26}{space 2} .0622462{col 37}{space 1}    5.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2251429{col 67}{space 3} .4691434
{space 2}{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}{col 3}p <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1925229{col 26}{space 2} .0688872{col 37}{space 1}    2.79{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .0575066{col 67}{space 3} .3275393
{txt}{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1228365{col 26}{space 2} .0687476{col 37}{space 1}    1.79{col 46}{space 3}0.074{col 54}{space 4}-.0119063{col 67}{space 3} .2575792
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3861652{col 26}{space 2} .0567844{col 37}{space 1}    6.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2748699{col 67}{space 3} .4974606
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
     var(e.d){c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0680074{col 26}{space 2} .0109604{col 54}{space 4} .0495876{col 67}{space 3} .0932696
{txt}     var(e.p){c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0905893{col 26}{space 2} .0145998{col 54}{space 4} .0660531{col 67}{space 3} .1242397
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
LR test of model vs. saturated: chi2({res:0})   = {res:     0.00}, Prob > chi2 = {res}     .
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}        77{col 27}        .{col 38}-134.0121{col 49}     9{col 58} 286.0242{col 69} 307.1184
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. estat teffects 
{res}

{txt}Direct effects
{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}      OIM
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}Structural  {col 14}{txt}{c |}
{space 2}{col 3}d <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}p {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3769922{col 26}{space 2} .0987403{col 37}{space 1}    3.82{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1834648{col 67}{space 3} .5705197
{txt}{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0421506{col 26}{space 2} .0626409{col 37}{space 1}    0.67{col 46}{space 3}0.501{col 54}{space 4}-.0806233{col 67}{space 3} .1649245
{txt}{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .285181{col 26}{space 2} .0607882{col 37}{space 1}    4.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1660384{col 67}{space 3} .4043236
{space 2}{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}{col 3}p <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1925229{col 26}{space 2} .0688872{col 37}{space 1}    2.79{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .0575066{col 67}{space 3} .3275393
{txt}{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1228365{col 26}{space 2} .0687476{col 37}{space 1}    1.79{col 46}{space 3}0.074{col 54}{space 4}-.0119063{col 67}{space 3} .2575792
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}


Indirect effects
{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}      OIM
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}Structural  {col 14}{txt}{c |}
{space 2}{col 3}d <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}p {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}        0{col 26}{txt}  (no path)
{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0725796{col 26}{space 2}  .032184{col 37}{space 1}    2.26{col 46}{space 3}0.024{col 54}{space 4} .0095002{col 67}{space 3} .1356591
{txt}{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0463084{col 26}{space 2}  .028615{col 37}{space 1}    1.62{col 46}{space 3}0.106{col 54}{space 4}-.0097759{col 67}{space 3} .1023927
{space 2}{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}{col 3}p <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}        0{col 26}{txt}  (no path)
{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}        0{col 26}{txt}  (no path)
{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}


Total effects
{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}      OIM
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}Structural  {col 14}{txt}{c |}
{space 2}{col 3}d <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}p {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3769922{col 26}{space 2} .0987403{col 37}{space 1}    3.82{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1834648{col 67}{space 3} .5705197
{txt}{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1147302{col 26}{space 2} .0650918{col 37}{space 1}    1.76{col 46}{space 3}0.078{col 54}{space 4}-.0128474{col 67}{space 3} .2423079
{txt}{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3314894{col 26}{space 2}   .06496{col 37}{space 1}    5.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2041702{col 67}{space 3} .4588086
{space 2}{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}{col 3}p <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1925229{col 26}{space 2} .0688872{col 37}{space 1}    2.79{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .0575066{col 67}{space 3} .3275393
{txt}{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1228365{col 26}{space 2} .0687476{col 37}{space 1}    1.79{col 46}{space 3}0.074{col 54}{space 4}-.0119063{col 67}{space 3} .2575792
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *** indirect and direct - winning/losing
. cap program drop indireff
{txt}
{com}. program indireff, rclass
{txt}  1{com}. sem (d <-  t  wl p)(p <-  t  wl)  
{txt}  2{com}.   estat teffects
{txt}  3{com}.   mat bi = r(indirect)
{txt}  4{com}.   mat bt = r(total)
{txt}  5{com}.   return scalar indir  = el(bi,1,3)
{txt}  6{com}.   return scalar total  = el(bt,1,3)
{txt}  7{com}. end 
{txt}
{com}. 
. set seed 358395
{txt}
{com}. bootstrap r(indir) r(total), reps(1000): indireff
{txt}(running indireff on estimation sample)

Bootstrap replications ({res}1000{txt})
{hline 4}{c +}{hline 3} 1 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 2 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 3 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 4 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 5 
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{res}
{txt}Bootstrap results{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}        77
{txt}{col 49}Replications{col 67}= {res}     1,000
{p2colset 7 17 21 2}{...}

{txt}{p2col :command:}indireff{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_1:}{res:r(indir)}{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_2:}{res:r(total)}{p_end}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}   Observed{col 26}   Bootstrap{col 54}         Norm{col 67}al-based
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_bs_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0463084{col 26}{space 2} .0318329{col 37}{space 1}    1.45{col 46}{space 3}0.146{col 54}{space 4}-.0160829{col 67}{space 3} .1086997
{txt}{space 7}_bs_2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3314894{col 26}{space 2}  .065598{col 37}{space 1}    5.05{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2029196{col 67}{space 3} .4600591
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. estat bootstrap, percentile bc  

{txt}Bootstrap results{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}        77
{txt}{col 49}Replications{col 67}= {res}      1000
{p2colset 7 17 21 2}{...}

{txt}{p2col :command:}indireff{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_1:}{res:r(indir)}{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_2:}{res:r(total)}{p_end}

{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 12}{hline 11}{hline 13}{hline 12}{hline 10}{hline 6}
{col 14}{text}{c |}    Observed{col 38}    Bootstrap
{col 14}{text}{c |}       Coef.{col 27}       Bias{col 38}    Std. Err.{col 51}  [95% Conf. Interval]
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 12}{hline 11}{hline 13}{hline 12}{hline 10}{hline 6}
{col 1}{text}       _bs_1{col 14}{c |}{result}{space 2}  .0463084{col 27}{space 2} .0017127{col 38}{space 2} .03183288{col 51}{space 2}-.0065476{col 63}{space 1} .1181549{col 73}{text}   (P)
{col 14}{text}{c |}{col 51}{result}{space 2} -.006051{col 63}{space 1} .1207608{col 73}{text}  (BC)
{col 1}{text}       _bs_2{col 14}{c |}{result}{space 2} .33148939{col 27}{space 2} .0005457{col 38}{space 2} .06559801{col 51}{space 2} .2061085{col 63}{space 1} .4527071{col 73}{text}   (P)
{col 14}{text}{c |}{col 51}{result}{space 2} .2006091{col 63}{space 1} .4464828{col 73}{text}  (BC)
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 12}{hline 11}{hline 13}{hline 12}{hline 10}{hline 6}
{col 0}(P){col 8}percentile confidence interval
{col 0}(BC){col 8}bias-corrected confidence interval

{com}. 
. *** indirect and direct - treatment
. cap program drop indireff
{txt}
{com}. program indireff, rclass
{txt}  1{com}. sem (d <- wl  t  p)(p <- wl  t )   
{txt}  2{com}.   estat teffects
{txt}  3{com}.   mat bi = r(indirect)
{txt}  4{com}.   mat bt = r(total)
{txt}  5{com}.   return scalar indirect  = el(bi,1,3)
{txt}  6{com}.   return scalar total  = el(bt,1,3)
{txt}  7{com}. end
{txt}
{com}. 
. set seed 358395
{txt}
{com}. bootstrap r(indirect) r(total), reps(1000): indireff
{txt}(running indireff on estimation sample)

Bootstrap replications ({res}1000{txt})
{hline 4}{c +}{hline 3} 1 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 2 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 3 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 4 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 5 
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{res}
{txt}Bootstrap results{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}        77
{txt}{col 49}Replications{col 67}= {res}     1,000
{p2colset 7 17 21 2}{...}

{txt}{p2col :command:}indireff{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_1:}{res:r(indirect)}{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_2:}{res:r(total)}{p_end}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}   Observed{col 26}   Bootstrap{col 54}         Norm{col 67}al-based
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_bs_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0725796{col 26}{space 2} .0340127{col 37}{space 1}    2.13{col 46}{space 3}0.033{col 54}{space 4}  .005916{col 67}{space 3} .1392433
{txt}{space 7}_bs_2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1147302{col 26}{space 2} .0640181{col 37}{space 1}    1.79{col 46}{space 3}0.073{col 54}{space 4}-.0107429{col 67}{space 3} .2402034
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. estat bootstrap, percentile bc  

{txt}Bootstrap results{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}        77
{txt}{col 49}Replications{col 67}= {res}      1000
{p2colset 7 17 21 2}{...}

{txt}{p2col :command:}indireff{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_1:}{res:r(indirect)}{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_2:}{res:r(total)}{p_end}

{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 12}{hline 11}{hline 13}{hline 12}{hline 10}{hline 6}
{col 14}{text}{c |}    Observed{col 38}    Bootstrap
{col 14}{text}{c |}       Coef.{col 27}       Bias{col 38}    Std. Err.{col 51}  [95% Conf. Interval]
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 12}{hline 11}{hline 13}{hline 12}{hline 10}{hline 6}
{col 1}{text}       _bs_1{col 14}{c |}{result}{space 2} .07257965{col 27}{space 2}-.0009883{col 38}{space 2} .03401268{col 51}{space 2} .0150552{col 63}{space 1} .1463559{col 73}{text}   (P)
{col 14}{text}{c |}{col 51}{result}{space 2}  .019433{col 63}{space 1}  .156667{col 73}{text}  (BC)
{col 1}{text}       _bs_2{col 14}{c |}{result}{space 2} .11473024{col 27}{space 2}-.0039014{col 38}{space 2} .06401807{col 51}{space 2}-.0177243{col 63}{space 1} .2355605{col 73}{text}   (P)
{col 14}{text}{c |}{col 51}{result}{space 2}-.0004477{col 63}{space 1} .2521946{col 73}{text}  (BC)
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 12}{hline 11}{hline 13}{hline 12}{hline 10}{hline 6}
{col 0}(P){col 8}percentile confidence interval
{col 0}(BC){col 8}bias-corrected confidence interval

{com}. 
. *** randomization check
. reg  t  gender interest ideology , robust

{txt}Linear regression                               Number of obs     = {res}        76
                                                {txt}F(3, 72)          =  {res}     5.02
                                                {txt}Prob > F          = {res}    0.0033
                                                {txt}R-squared         = {res}    0.1200
                                                {txt}Root MSE          =    {res} .48039

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}           t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}gender {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0977682{col 26}{space 2} .1135737{col 37}{space 1}   -0.86{col 46}{space 3}0.392{col 54}{space 4}-.3241732{col 67}{space 3} .1286368
{txt}{space 4}interest {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1171565{col 26}{space 2} .0493995{col 37}{space 1}   -2.37{col 46}{space 3}0.020{col 54}{space 4}-.2156327{col 67}{space 3}-.0186804
{txt}{space 4}ideology {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4779577{col 26}{space 2}  .202077{col 37}{space 1}    2.37{col 46}{space 3}0.021{col 54}{space 4} .0751247{col 67}{space 3} .8807908
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.008162{col 26}{space 2} .3321426{col 37}{space 1}    3.04{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}  .346048{col 67}{space 3} 1.670276
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}/Users/xpmiki/Dropbox/esaiasson/replicationData/e12.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res} 9 Sep 2016, 11:17:14
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}